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Daily Report

Dec 20th, 2017: Kiwi Reverses on Trade Deficit

Morning Report: 07.00 London

This morning, the New Zealand dollar is on the back foot after trade balance and current account date slumped more than expected. The NZD/USD is off by 0.17% this morning.

The euro continues to perform well by contrast, with the EUR/JPY up over 1% on the week and the EUR/USD up 0.76%. The pound has generally performed well this week, though has notably lagged the euro, with the EUR/GBP rising.

The AUD/USD is stuck in a range, but the AUD/JPY continues to rise.

Dollar index generally have a negative bias this morning giving dollar pairs a positive bias, with the exception of the Kiwi.

Gold continues to accumulate, rising off the lows.

Coming up today

Coming up today, we have German Buba president Weidmann speaking at 13.00.

BOE governor Carney speaks at 13.15.

At 15.00, we get US existing home sales.

US crude oil inventories are at 15.30.

Trade Idea

The New Zealand dollar is pulled back this morning, in line with the medium term trend. The AUD/USD has led the Kiwi lower since October, but yet to reverse.

In this situation, it could pay to follow the longer term trend and bet on further downside for the AUD/USD.

Dec 20th, 2017: Kiwi Reverses on Trade Deficit

A good way to play this is a LOWER trade predicting that the AUD/USD will close below 0.7600 in 21 days for a potential return of 213%.

Dec 20th, 2017: Kiwi Reverses on Trade Deficit