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October 4th, 2017: Pound Hit as Construction Slumps

Morning Report: 07.00 London

The US dollar index is back on the rise this morning ahead of today’s ADP payrolls from the US. The dollar pressure eased yesterday and this morning, helping most dollar pairs to make gains.

The main exception is the GBP/USD which continues to struggle. The GBP/JPY has made further losses while the EUR/GBP has risen for four straight days. This comes after disappointing manufacturing PMI and Construction PMI in the last two days.

The yen pairs are mixed as the dollar backs off, forcing the likes of the USD/JPY on the defensive.

Gold reversed some of its losses yesterday and this morning, but the downtrend remains firmly on track.

Coming up today

Coming up today, we have UK services PMI at 09.30.

This is followed by US ADP non-farm employment change at 13.15.

US ISM non-manufacturing PMI follows at 15.00, with oil inventories at the same time.

ECB President Draghi speaks at 18.15, with Fed chair Yellen speaking at 20.15.

Trade Idea

It’s too early to say if the dollar softening could be a trend reversal, but one pair that might benefit the most is the USD/CAD. The pair has been rallying as the dollar strengthens and oil prices retreat from the highs. This oil price pullback has been shallow though and it is encouraging for the Canadian dollar that prices remain firmly above $50.

October 4th, 2017: Pound Hit as Construction Slumps

A good way to play this is a LOWER trade predicting that the USD/CAD will close below 1.2400 in 21 days for a potential return of 145%.

October 4th, 2017: Pound Hit as Construction Slumps